The rear-view mirror effect

Ever notice how experts nail the past but falter with the future?

Most experts are adept at analyzing where we’ve been but struggle to forecast where we’re heading. Think of them as looking through the rear-view mirror, rather than at the future through the windshield.

Experts are fantastic at dissecting the twists and turns we’ve already navigated. Their insights are based on what’s happened, not what’s going to happen. This focus on the past makes them great historians but unreliable prophets.

Driving by only looking backward means missing every new curve and obstacle. That’s the crux of relying on expert predictions—they’re spot-on with history but hazy with foresight.

When planning your next move, use expert advice to understand where we’ve been. But remember, the future is unwritten, and it’s up to us to chart our own course. Let’s steer confidently into the unknown.